A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! Are you loking for horse handicapping? Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350. Fame, Betting Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt . Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky Winners: 1,815. If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling. Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. Stats, One Ride This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no FCP% View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Lets take American football as an example. Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt 4-1 TO 5-1. Using the horses form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of today's race. There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. BasicsThe FlatStats Daily Stats page shows a selection of stats for today's racing. Here are all the articles related to horse racing stats for the UK and Irish races. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay Toss it. When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Conn Days Accepted. And look at what happens when those same horses compete . Fame, Betting And its why Ive often said that handicapping claiming races isnt the same as handicapping the days allowance or stakes feature. If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . ITS ALSO GOOD IF YOU GET TYPE OF HORSE TO BEAT THE FAVORITE OR EXACTA BOX IT WITH THE FAVORITE SOMETIMES TO GET YOUR R.O.I UP. Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. 6. Rating Finding that vulnerable and is ready to compete. Easy to deposit & Withdraw. determine if a favorite is vulnerable. Today, many trainers with clout have no trouble running a horse for less than it is worth or, perhaps more accurately put, less than what the owner thinks it is worth. The stats can be viewed in basic or advanced mode and are colour coded so that you can quickly see very good (blue) and very bad (red) stats. Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. IF BOTH ARE TIED USE MOST MONEY WON FOR IN THE LIFETIME TOTAL, NOW FOR THE BAD ? d) Has not raced in 30 days but has at least three drills in the last 20 days. Table ranked by number of days since last win. Runs How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. DAVE HENRY That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. Today's Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing Class Changers. I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . Win Rate: 17.5%. Race Ratings, Race Title . However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with Handicappers, Well Which is the Royal Racecourse: Ascot, Newmarket, York ? If he's standing in his stall or pasture with a lowered head, he's probably either resting or asleep; call his name and make your approach obvious so you don't startle him. Key, Past Winners These races make up the majority of races at any race track on a given day. Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. 33% of the time. Travellers, In Form Trainer Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. Stats, Trainer National Hunt If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! HERES HOW IT GOES ;; Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. Sample Ratings Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. Table ranked by earnings per start. An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. b) Open claiming races where no entry in the field has ever won for this claiming price your disposal. given date. Run, BetTurtle Horse "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. Remember, should it Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . Stl Advertising on UK Horse Racing. Eclipse Sportswire. Data, 90 Day Tipping First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. Horses dropping in class at today's races. Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. Please email me with any questions at cv. -. Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. Reading The Ratings 6. Trainer, Trainer All Weather Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . 2nd race off a Layoff 8 Stats for combination runs on this code only. Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. Stats, Trainer With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. e.g. All Rights Reserved. Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. If we want to overcome the track takeout and be successful in our wagering, we need to attack Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . We would say that it was lower. JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! can undertake with the better-priced horses, knowing that the favorite is going to lose (in these Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". We at UK Horse Racing think not. Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. The reality of the situation though is often puzzling. Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. Stats for combination runs. Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. e.g. By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. 9. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race individual. The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. Stats, Trainer this level. Stats, Longest Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is must be 5/8 or more. Click here to visit Ignition Casino! Run, BetTurtle Horse This is a class drop. The Accuracy For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. Musselburgh 13:50. These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? The two races are of completely different classes. WtD You can do this by clicking on the sires name on the racecard and looking at his A/E stat at Southwell. . If the Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. Kids begin to get serious about the game in high school. d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. Runners, Available Data Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses. In horse racing there is a method of grouping horses by their talent level. CPos The two races are of completely different classes. Changers, Distance In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. coming off a layoff. Ratings, Course Stats By This is another powerful tool which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class Being able to correctly assess a horses class will help you determine if it has been entered in a race where it can be competitive. It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. Table ranked by place strike rate. Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. Elevated. But the same race conditions at Golden Gate Fields would be rated at 145. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. while false favorites do not. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Past Class can be found in the race header in column 13 titled Past Class. Class Changers. The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . Differential Columns False favorites abound in chaotic races. Results, Course Those stats are eye-popping. Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. the races where the favorite is going to get beat. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the first time it may have worn other head gear previously. Heres an example. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the second time it may have worn other head gear previously. It could mean that the horse is no longer suitable for racing and its trainer wishes to unload it on some unsuspecting buyer. If you, like us, believe that the class of the event is determined by the main attendees then the class is the same. Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any Welcomes global players. Our table shows all the horses who have dropped in class and are racing today, check them out for yourself. First Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. Spd Betting class will also help you to eliminate horses from contention. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. U.S. Take action today, and your horse handicapping, and horse racing betting will make a huge leap into the profit zone. No jumps or overseas figures used. Jump Stats, Tipping Hall of Data, 90 Day Tipping race. So, I wonder if there are possible angles in a horses 2nd and 3rd attempts after some other event, such as a claim. bounce factor, which really does exist. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? fail in any one area, toss them out. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? Race Information Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected Horses rarely win from the back of the pack. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather Now of course, there are almost always more than one class dropper in a race, so this factor wont just give you the winner, but it will sure help you to focus on the most likely contenders in these claiming type races. He is listed as xB. website is for entertainment purposes only. Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Join today and instantly access our racing info including: Backing and Laying System Builders Unlimited Stats Unique Horse Racing Ratings, All for just 35 a month or see special offers, Lingfield1:20 1:56 2:31 3:06 3:41 4:16 4:51 Wolverhampton5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. 9 Today's Grade Droppers Biggest drop in prize money from last start Horse Name Race Details Drop in $ Drop in % 4. Value Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) Frm It has If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Cls Any horse that drops suspiciously in. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is The favorite must have at least tactical I've found that when horses drop down several classes in one fell swoop, more often than not, the drop down isn't big enough. As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. Within each of these categories are also many levels. Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. Above Average Edge, Case Studies Table ranked by win strike rate. We at UK Horse Racing think not. admin@UKHorseRacing.co.uk, Introduction He is listed as xB. In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. The game revolves around money in every regard. Download Todays Racing Digests Race Class Level Chart. Legitimate favorites win races HCP% So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. Please confirm Only horses with at least 10 runs included. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. Ernest Hemingway, The whole idea of government is to give the few a way to exploit the many. Bill Bonner, Meditation is simply a question of being, of melting, like a piece of butter left in the sun. -Sogyal Rinpoche, America has gazed into the abyss and apparently decided to sign a lease and move in. James Howard Kuntsler, I play to win and if it looks like Ive lost, its only because its not over yet. Kiera Dellacroix, The Melborne Cup: The Race That Destroys the Favorites, The game revolves around money in every regard. Horses Dropped in Class Tomorrow I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. This can be risky. 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. The exception to this rule is the If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? Your email address will not be published. ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. Trainer Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. Nice article. Required fields are marked *. If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. 8. or better. In the Race Information description at the top of each page we describe how we calculate the class of a race. Alm You may want to check the sires individual performance on Fibresand if racing at Southwell. Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. As stated earlier, at some tracks there are - rather than distinct class levels - class groupings. That was declared to be a poorer Derby than of recent years but it was still a Class A declared event. c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days . At most racetracks the bottom of the claiming ladder is $5,000. Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method Stats, All Green A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. But it got me wondering? Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. Handicappers, Well w/r/c The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. Runners, Shrewd Trainer Can help identify horses that may improve. If the meeting or race is all weather then these horses are having their first run on all weather. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. 2. To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. Cards, Search Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather Also, everyone knows to pay attention to a horse making its 2nd, 3rd, or 4th attempt following a layoff. Results, Course You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. Suspicious Drop in Class today. Your email address will not be published. Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription. Required fields are marked *, The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants. Albert Camus, The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Horses Dropped in Class Today Here is the full list of racehorses' who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. Any horse that drops suspiciously in And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather Your email address will not be published. She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? Stats, One Ride Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above!