He tied for 25th in 2022, and he has been a different player since then. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: Im is clearly the class of this field, and hes a past champion for good reason. After debuting with a T17 in 2017, he piggybacked it with a T7 in 2018 and a T10 in 2019. The 2023 Genesis Invitational. Oh, and a lot of laughs along the way. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Detry will be coming into this event brimming with confidence after his runner-up finish last week. 7 and sank one of the most beautiful aces youll ever see. Eric Cole ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,000 FanDuel). He nailed the Houston Open, backing Tony Finau to win at 25-1, and is up almost seven units on his plays overall, a profit of nearly $700 for $100 bettors. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+550, FanDuel) Ill take the easy pick with Rahm this week. We can argue about how hampered he is, but he has some of the best tournament history in the field. Now he gets to battle a much weaker field, where he should be able to separate himself more frequently. Hes played this event once, finishing T-49 in 2015. His game can clearly travel and his upside is immense. All Rights Reserved. Alex Noren ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel). Responsible sports betting starts with a game plan. Hes one of the most experienced golfers in the field at PGA National, where hes played 10 times, making the cut in all but one. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Weather Report: Conditions to Affect Play? His best finish was a seventh-place finish in 2021, so he should be brimming with good vibes here. Poston +5000Sahith Theegala +5000Adam Hadwin +5000Andrew Putnam +5500K.H. section: | slug: 2023-american-express-picks-predictions-odds-field-top-pga-expert-says-back-scottie-scheffler-this-week | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Now hell head to Bay Hill with little experience to bank on. Adam Svensson ($8,700 DraftKings | $10,200 FanDuel). Set a budget. Like the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, the annual trip to New Orleans is a great change of pace. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Aaron Rai (-125) over Justin Lower (Bet365) Lower has had a solid start to the fall, but Rai is more proven long-term and over the past 24 rounds has better strokes gained/off the tee and approach numbers than Lower. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Day, a 12-time PGA Tour winner, has three straight top-10 finishes and has yet to finish worse than 18th place in 2023. His putter is better than average, but it won't keep him in contention. Look for these on Wednesday afternoons. And which massive long shot has a chance to stun the golfing world? He gained more than 14 strokes from tee-to-green in those eight rounds but lost over eight strokes with his putter. Weekly Cheatsheets: If you are already an Awesemo.com frequent visitor, you know about these quick hitter cheatsheets that give you some ideas on who to play each week. Caddie: Brendon Todd (+100) over Seamus Power (Bet365) Todd, a former winner here, has been playing some spectacular golf this Fall. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. Jordan Spieth ($8,600 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). The 2023 calendar year hasnt started the way Wise would have liked, and hell enter this week coming off back-to-back missed cuts. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The Open Championship in this week's edition of the Power Rankings. For more fantasy, check out Rookie Ranking , Qualifiers and Reshuffle. PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and The pro-am event, once known as the Bob Hope Desert Classic, has an average winning score of 24 under par over the past 10 years. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. (Photo by Katharine Lotze/Getty Images). Gdula: Maverick McNealy (26-1, FanDuel) I cant suggest fading anyone at 18-1 or shorter. At $9,900, this is the most expensive Chris Kirk has been on DraftKings since the 2021 Zurich Classic ($10,100)a team event. Finishing T-50 in Phoenix and T-45 in Los Angeles are certainly not bad results, but they will look bad compared to the high standards that Kim has provided us in his first nine months on tour. The Honda Classic is the first stop, and although. Mayo: Matt Kuchar (50-1, DraftKings) BACK to the scene of the crime from Kuch. He gained strokes across the board and has shown significant improvements with the putter in recent months. Rai is one of the worst Bermudagrass putters in the field, and hes lost strokes on approach in four of his past five starts. TPC Summerlin 8. If youre look for win equity in the 40-1+ range, look no further than J-Day. (Subscribe for video or audio.) How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in . Yes, hes first in SG/total. Sungjae Im ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). Strokes gained/approach is also incredibly valuableagain, only six other courses were more correlated to success. His outright plays feature three major longshots who come in at more than 60-1. The ball striking? Montgomerys putter has cooled off, and hes been exposed a bit in the elevated events. Torrey Pines South 5. Combine that with a wild driver, and Spieth will likely be playing out of the thick rough often at Bay Hill, narrowing his path to the top of the leaderboard. Joaqun Niemann (R) of Chile celebrates with the trophy alongside friend and competitor Mito Pereira (L) of Chile after winning the final round of The Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club on February 20, 2022 in Pacific Palisades, California. Day is elite in multiple metrics. Even at 38 years of age, hes consistently among the longest hitters off the tee, and because of that, hes among the most accurate on approach. Gehman: Brian Harman (35-1, DraftKings) Harman is one of the most fascinating players in this field. If you or someone you know wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outright plays, including hitting Hudson Swafford (250-1) at last year's The American Express. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Its a stat line that is full of red flags. Courses 189 View detail Preview site Lee +19000J.J. PGA Live Before Lock: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Picks. Ryan Palmer has a new partner this time around after playing with Jon Rahm for the past few seasons (and Jordan Spieth before him). The 29-year-old pulled out in the second round of the Sentry with a sore back but feels ready to return. NBA Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings and Underdog, DraftKings Showdown Single Round Projections. A strong field will tee off Thursday beginning at 11:30 a.m. Released Wednesday. Lee +6500Rickie Fowler +6500Jason Day +8000Wyndham Clark +8000Joel Dahmen +8000Harris English +8000Chris Kirk +8000Taylor Pendrith +8500Justin Rose +8500Patrick Rodgers +9500Christiaan Bezuidenhout +9500Davis Riley +9500Thomas Detry +9500Denny McCarthy +9500Keith Mitchell +10000Will Gordon +10000David Lipsky +10000Sebastian Munoz +11000Brendan Steele +11000Martin Laird +12000Brendon Todd +12000Luke List +12000Dean Burmester +12000Emiliano Grillo +12000Ben Griffin +12000Stephan Jaeger +12000Alex Smalley +12000Aaron Rai +14000Russell Knox +14000Lee Hodges +14000Jhonattan Vegas +16000Nick Taylor +16000Greyson Sigg +16000Taylor Moore +16000Patton Kizzire +16000Sam Ryder +16000Mark Hubbard +16000Danny Willett +16000Nate Lashley +16000Robby Shelton +17000S.H. Now that hes warm, Bay Hill actually presents a better fit for his long ball off the tee, but in this beefier field, hes slipped behind the crowd, and thats good for us. Expect regression in that category against a much deeper field. With a pair of early top 10s among six paydays, the 41-year-old Aussie is an impressive 75th in the FedExCup. McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm to finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions, the American Express and the Genesis Invitational. Tournament match-ups are often released by Tuesday at many top sportsbooks along with expert picks from PGA Tour staff and Golf Digest panel among other leading handicappers and analysts. Jon Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The pairs will need to make a lot of them to have a chance to win. Hes gained strokes on approach in seven straight starts, something he hasnt done since the fall of 2017 when he was ranked inside the top 10 in the world. Recent Form Cheatsheet: The entire fields current form, going back as far as 10 weeks, and synopsis provided by Jason Rousiln. Heading into this week's tournament, the 35-year-old ranks first on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained (1.957), 11th in strokes gained tee-to-green (1.307), 21st in strokes gained on approach (0.677), and 26th in strokes gained putting (0.650). RELATED:LIV Golf loses ratings battle to Worlds Funniest Animals? Caves Valley Golf Club, 2. Caddie: Aaron Wise (+220, Bet365) Wise has gone 10th, MC, second and 15th in his last four trips to Mayakoba, and hes coming off his third top-15 finish in his last four starts. Hes combining solid approach play with a hot putter to throw his name into the mix more consistently. Hes very inconsistent and has struggled putting all four rounds together, but you can see hes growing and getting more comfortable on the PGA Tour. Thats the ninth-best putting performance of anyone in this field for the entire 2023 season. . For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for , where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for , the Score and GolfWRX. Since his emergence on the scene last summer, there is no golfer in this field gaining as many strokes on approach (0.75 per round) in as many rounds (67) as Kim. Scottish Open Picks Jordan Spieth often excels the week before a Major and loves the links. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long- and short-form content, owner of the Mayo Media Network and host of The Pat Mayo Experience. This hasnt been the run of golf that Conners was hoping for this season. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) I do worry about him coming in highly motivated after losing the No. As Joel Beall of Golf Digest noted, the video compilation show Worlds Funniest Animals also aired on Saturday drew more viewers than LIV Golf did. Toss in four par 5s and scoring conditions during which par will feel like a red number, and it wont matter much that his putting unlikely will impress. Top-10 results from the Bermuda Championship: Gehman: 1 for 1 (Thomas Detry +225); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Hennessey: 1 for 6 (up 2 units); Mayo: 1 for 5 (up 0 units); Gdula: 1 for 6 (down 0.1 units); Caddie: 1 for 6 (down 0.5 units); Alldrick: 1 for 6 (down 1 unit); Gehman: 1 for 6 (down 2.75 units); Powers: 0 for 6 (down 6 units), RELATED: A death stare from Tiger, playing Tony Finau for cash and more with Doug Smith. , I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) World No. 2023 Honda Classic Odds & Trends: Shane Lowry & Sunjae Im Lead the Pack. Gdula: Matt Kuchar (60-1, FanDuel) Kuchar has flashed upside in reasonable spots over the past year, and he now heads to a course that can reward him for being accurate off the tee and not penalize him too much for being a shorter hitter. The guy has kept the hot streak going in casual rounds, as our guy Doug Smith can attest to, and so I think this is the perfect, low-key field for Finau to add yet another W. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest assistant editor: Tom Hoge (30-1, DraftKings) Hoge is absolutely tearing it up this Fall, finishing T-13 or better in all four starts hes made. Bethpage State Park Golf Course 6. World No. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2022 Worldwide Technology Championship. The good news is that List has gained strokes putting in three of his five trips to Bay Hill, so heres hoping he can unlock those feels on the greens this week. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Ben Griffin ($6,700 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). Rock the Stokastic Avatar on DraftKings, FanDuel or Yahoo and Win Platinum! Mayo (@ThePME) was named 2021 Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writing Association, while also being a finalist for Podcast of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year. Shane Lowry (T-35, T-3, T-3), 3. How about two idiots talking PGA Tour, golf betting, and everything in-between? Max Homa and Talor Gooch. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! 2022 Stokastic.com LLC. Hes separating himself from fields via his strong iron play but has left some room for improvement on the greens. Rahm is the best player in the world until further notice. Luke List Anytime (every time?) Collin Morikawa ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). managing editor: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Nobody has been better over the past 24 rounds than Finau, whos third in SG/approach, sixth in SG/off the tee and 12th in putting. The 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando is next up on the PGA Tour schedule, the third designated event in four weeks. Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets, all from the expert who's up over $9,600 since the PGA Tour restart, and find out. Berrymans Arnold Palmer Invitational Core Plays: Few Handle Wind as Well as Scottie Scheffler. All Rights Reserved. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. His last four starts, not including the staggered-start Tour Championship, resulted in two wins and a T-5. Taylor Montgomery ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). Hickok snapped a streak of eight straight missed cuts with a T-29 at The Genesis Invitational. Henley has an 18 percent top-10 rate over the past year, and only the putting is really holding him back from success this week. Pebble Beach Golf Links 2. Matchup Results from the Bermuda Championship: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Rodgers (-125) over S.H. Thats his second top-25 finish in his first four starts during this campaign. In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Min Woo Lee ($9,400 DraftKings | $11,000 FanDuel). Justin Thomas ($9,600 DraftKings | $11,300 FanDuel). There are more questions than answers coming from the Thomas camp right now. Mayo: Adam Long (-110) over J.J. Spaun (DraftKings) Long hasnt had much juice recently but he is the prototype for a solid result at Mayakoba. Hovland stepped up to the tee at the par-3 No. RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Honda Classic, Robby Shelton ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,700 FanDuel). 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Grant has quietly flashed brilliance this year, earning a T-25 at Torrey Pines and a T-20 at Pebble Beach. After one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory, the PGA Tour kicks off its Florida Swing this week at the Honda Classic. Davis Riley Its like a rite of passage across the United States. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for Thatll be very useful around Torrey Pines this week. Hovland on the other hand comes into this event looking to complete the hat trick of wins here in the space of three years. Gehman: Jason Day (-120) over K.H. For live odds, visit BetMGM. Aaron Baddeley Its not easy to get into the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard while navigating a season on Past Champion status, and hes in on merit to boot. Each lineup consists of four starters and two Everything is in place for Finau to have a massive season, starting right now. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. Per stats guru Justin Ray, only two other players have pulled off the rare accomplishment in the past 40 years on tour. Golf Digest - Joel Beall 2d The PGA Tours designated events for 2024 will feature limited fields and no cuts after the tours Policy Board voted to approve a new structure for the tournaments in a Tuesday night meeting. Hes now giving strokes back to the field on the putting surfaces in seven of his past nine measured starts. He tends to thrive when conditions get more difficult, which will be expected at PGA National this week. His last eight starts have all been T-13 or better with five top-five finishes. Birdie percentage: Birdies are king this week. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Before this week's PGA Tour event, McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2023 The American Express. Bay Hill will challenge golfers from tee to green and demand precision on and around the greens. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | TPC Scottsdale 3. Its the type of course the ultra-accurate Streelman could still contend, and though hes only played this event once since 2009, he does boast a top-three to his name a long time ago. Hennessey: Viktor Hovland An easy case to make to roll with the two-time defending champ. Gambling problem? Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Collin Morikawa (18-1, DraftKings) The results havent been close to elite in the swing season, but thats all 100 percent putting related. Bay Hill also had the longest set of par-3 lengths on average in non-major courses last year. His iron play has been downright putrid, and Im not sure he can sustain gaining six strokes on the greens like he has the last two starts. This website is for entertainment purposes only and does not offer real money bets. So which 2023 American Express picks should you target? PGA DFS Optimizer Picks Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jordan Spieth at a Ball Striking Venue is a Lock, 2023 Honda Classic First Round Leader Picks: Garrick Higgo Can Surprise Everyone, 2023 Genesis Invitational First Round Leader Picks: Jordan Spieth Looks Ready to Start Fast, 2023 WM Phoenix Open First Round Leader Picks: Russell Henley Could Sneak Up On Everyone. Hes had the best short game of anyone in this field over the past 50 rounds, so that should no longer be a concern. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. Sam Ryder ($7,000 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). Our experts are torn. Palmer was able to grab World No. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Thats, by far, the best mark in this field. Tway got through the cut at both full-field elevated events, finishing top 40 in both. section: | slug: arnold-palmer-invitational-2023-props-odds-field-expert-head-to-head-golf-matchup-picks-pga-best-bets | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. What 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bets should you target? Hes gaining a staggering 3.25 strokes per round over his past 36 rounds, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Heres what we know: Hes likely to be a great ball-striker, like he was at Riviera, where he gained 13 strokes in the ball-striking categories, and he has gained in 19 of his past 22 measured starts. He was finalist for four FSWA Awards in 2020 (Best Podcast, Best Video, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Preview: Can Viktor Hovland Put It All Together? Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make Every year, theres a contingent of native and resident Southeasterners who find a return to bermuda greens as comfortable as sliding on a favorite T-shirt. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Russell Henley (33-1, BetRivers) His four most recent results include two MCs and a 35th- and 45th-place finish. His stat profile is full of inconsistency, and his inaccuracy off-the-tee could lead to big numbers in Florida this week. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis. If he can just make a few putts, which is conceivable on the slow, paspalum greens, his irons and accuracy should have him hoisting a novelty check. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. That will undoubtedly change soon, but Im not ready to bet on it at single-digit odds. 7:52 am ET, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald, You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis, You can see who he is backing this week at The American Express 2023 at SportsLine, You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine, visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 American Express odds, field, expert picks, bets, Spieth among chasers at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. The PGA Tour's Fall Swing continues this week in Mexico, where the now former World No. Golf Predictions. If he can just stop losing a billion strokes off the tee each week, hell become a popular play again. Aaron Wise ($9,200 DraftKings | $11,600 FanDuel). Another team with great chemistry. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Hes played four times this yearmissing the cut in Phoenix but earning a runner-up, third place finish and T-6 in his three other starts. He also ranked second in birdie average (4.6 per round) and fourth in scoring average (69.3). His best finish over nine starts is a T-26 and hes the only golfer in the field who has played at least 30 rounds here and is losing strokes to the field. CLICK HERE to learn more at HaveAGamePlan.org. Chris Kirk ($9,900 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). How to Sports Bet 101: What is a Point Spread? 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73.